ATAbhay Tewari
Course · Intermediate

Investing by the Business Cycle

A practitioner's framework for reading the cycle in India and the US from leading, coincident and lagging indicators, and rotating sectors and ETFs accordingly.

Built around the Cycle Compass. Each week you score the live dashboard, compare your reading to the class’s, and work through what the rulebook prescribes and why. Not investment advice; the course teaches a framework, and you remain responsible for your decisions.

Syllabus

Module 1 · Cycles and pendulums

  1. What can be known about the cycle
  2. The four phases and how they end
  3. Market cycle versus economic cycle

Module 2 · The indicator chain

  1. The US architecture: LEI, CEI, LAG
  2. Assembling an Indian leading index
  3. Reading nowcast data: GST, power, freight

Module 3 · Rotation rules

  1. Sector rules by phase
  2. An NSE ETF menu for each phase
  3. Confidence, sizing and the core

Module 4 · Deployment discipline

  1. Tranching and triggers
  2. Overlays: oil, the dollar and flows
  3. Running the monthly review